Posts Tagged ‘bankruptcy’

Lehman Brothers Workout Could Take Three to Five Years

Tuesday, October 6th, 2009

1105000_lehman_brothersCleaning up the mess left by Lehman Brothers’ collapse and bankruptcy involves salvaging a national portfolio of 900 properties valued at $16 billion.  What the advisory firm overseeing Lehman’s bankruptcy achieves could be a framework for the strategies that big banks across the country use as they deal with their own troubled assets whose loans are maturing over the next 18 months.

According to Bryan Marsal, the head of Alvarez & Marsal, the advisory firm overseeing Lehman’s bankruptcy proceedings, “It’s not a great time to sell today.  We are not passively waiting for a better market.”  Marsal’s firm has 66 people overseeing the Lehman portfolio, as well as 250 outside contractors.  Describing the effort as the “biggest workout department in the U.S.,” Marsal estimates that it could take his team three to five years to complete the wind down of Lehman with its creditors and in federal bankruptcy court.

Lehman’s restructuring could provide a lesson for U.S. banks and thrifts holding more than $1.2 trillion in commercial mortgages backed by office buildings, hotels, shopping malls and apartments.  With falling property values and tight credit, commercial property lenders’ losses could total as much as $115 to $150 billion, according to a Deutsche Bank AG report.

The Lehman portfolio clearly demonstrates the depth of losses across the board.  One group of properties fell in value by an estimated $5.4 billion between the weekend of its bankruptcy filing and December 31.  This was due to a combination of a deteriorating market and unrealistically high valuations prior to the bankruptcy filing.

Distressed CRE Hits $108 Billion

Monday, August 3rd, 2009

More than $108 billion of commercial properties in the United States are now in default, foreclosure or bankruptcy.   That preliminary statistic is nearly double the amount reported at the start of 2009, according to New York-based Real Capital Analytics, Inc.19and20

At the end of June, 5,315 buildings were reported to be in financial distress.  Hotels and retail properties are the most “problematic” assets after bankruptcy filings by mall owner General Growth Properties, Inc., and Extended Stay America, Inc.  The lack of credit is spurring property defaults throughout the country and among every type of investor.

“Perhaps more alarming than the rapid growth in the distress totals is the very modest rate at which troubled situations are being resolved,” according to Real Capital Analytics.  The good news is that approximately $4.1 billion of commercial properties have emerged from distress.  “In far more situations, modifications and short-term extensions are being granted, but these can hardly be considered resolved, only delayed,” the report notes.

Modern Wing of the Art Institute of Chicago a “Temple of Light”

Thursday, May 28th, 2009

Amidst the most dire financial crisis in a generation, Chicago has created a magnificent rejoinder to all the bad news.  The Russian writer Dostoevsky once said that “Beauty will save the world.”  Seeing Renzo Piano’s new Modern Wing at the Art Institute of Chicago makes you believe that it just might.  First of all, how did they do it?  A $300 million capital project when cities and states are tottering on the edge of bankruptcy?  The answer is that the project is the denouement of a $385 million fundraising campaign — $300 million for the new building and $85 million for the endowment.  All of it came from private patrons in Chicago, some of whom contributed multi-million-dollar sums — a sign of the enormous wealth generated in our city over the last business cycle.  Fortunately, the capital campaign was completed before the downturn in the economy, but the larger museum’s budget will rise from $77 million to $97 million.  This comes at a time when the Art Institute’s endowment has lost a quarter of its value since mid-2008 when it was $641 million, though the museum has been raising an average of around $60 million a year for the expansion.  Meanwhile, in March, the Art Institute issued two series of bonds totaling $140 million to finance construction and other costs while waiting for pledges to come in.

Piano's design includes a facade of Indiana limestone, white steel, and aluminum topped with a "flying carpet" flat roof.

Piano's design includes a facade of Indiana limestone, white steel, and aluminum topped with a "flying carpet" flat roof.

So how good is the building?  For one, it increases the gallery’s space by 35 percent to one million square feet, making the Art Institute the second largest art museum in the U.S. after the Metropolitan Museum in New York (he said proudly as a Chicagoan).  But the really singular thing about the new Modern Wing and what puts it, in my mind, beyond the Met, is that it is a masterpiece of design and urban planning.  Joining Beaux Art with Prairie, the new building has been described as a temple of light.  The key word is temple with all its suggestion of serenity and grace.  Piano (he of the New York Times building and the Whitney Museum) has created a white steel, aluminum and Indiana limestone jewel box topped with a gorgeous flat roof (his flying carpet) and overhanging eaves (in Prairie fashion) which carefully refract light into the galleries below.

The interior is a marvel of the earthbound — wood floors and red wood paneling — and the airborne — vellum ceiling panels and a floating glass staircase that looks back and ahead at the architectural aspirations of our city.  Piano is effusive in his fidelity to transparency and translucence in his work: “architecture must fly: it is made of emotions, tensions, transparency, “and it is not enough for the light to be perfect, you also need calm, serenity, and even a voluptuous quality linked to contemplation of works of art.”

The stunning Nichols Bridgeway, a 620-foot-long pedestrian walkway between the Modern Wing and Millennium Park, gives the impression of floating through treetops and buildings.

The stunning Nichols Bridgeway, a 620-foot-long pedestrian walkway between the Modern Wing and Millennium Park, gives the impression of floating through treetops and buildings.

Then there’s the way the building is situated, offering us the best views yet of the sumptuous Millennium Park gardens and the Frank Gehry-designed Pritzker Pavilion.  The genius of the building is that it makes the city part of its permanent collection, continually juxtaposing its pop art and abstract expressionist canvases against the northeast views of Lake Michigan and the gilded Loop skyline.  The connection is fully realized at the end when the path snakes onto the stunning Nichols Bridgeway, a sloping, 620-foot-long pedestrian walkway that buoys you from the Modern Wing straight into Millennium Park. Lit like the drawbridge to a spaceship, the walkway gives the impression of floating through treetops and buildings.  An unforgettable way to close.  The new Modern Wing of the Art Institute is everything civic architecture should be — inspiring, provoking and, ultimately, a bellwether of better things ahead.

Sovereign Wealth Funds Still Interested in U.S. Real Estate

Wednesday, May 13th, 2009

Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) have been closely watching the credit crisis evolve, according to a Deloitte LLP report.  The good news is that they haven’t entirely lost their taste for American commercial real estate. water-academy-wokshop-dsc_0451

Consider that two of 2008′s highest profile transactions were the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority’s $800 million acquisition of the iconic Chrysler Building and the Kuwait Investment Authority’s $3.95 billion joint venture to acquire the General Motors Building and three additional office towers.

Deloitte notes that SWFs are breaking with their “traditionally conservative, passive investment practices” to pursue interests in partnerships and joint ventures with American real estate firms and investors.  “This shift to broader and more active investment relationships may require that SWFs pay greater attention to increased political, media and public scrutiny, as well as their need for greater operational transparency,” according to the report.

SWFs will stick to the playbook of acquiring trophy and other Class A assets.  It’s unlikely that SWFs will focus on non-performing loans since that would require extensive involvement in the American legal system of foreclosure/bankruptcy in order to protect their rights as lenders.  The relative strength of the dollar — to the extent it is an indicator of future strengthening of the U.S. economy ahead of other countries — could be considered a way to protect the risk of any further currency decline in the home currencies of the SWFs.

Deep Freeze of an Unregulated Economy

Thursday, March 5th, 2009

Iceland’s economic collapse, the result of a reckless government and a lack of financial regulation, is an object lesson to Americans who fear increased — but necessary – markets oversight.

Icelandic debt is 10 times the country’s GDP!  In the United States, our debt would have to be close to $100 trillion to put us in the same position.  Icelandic banks were deregulated during the mid-1990s, after which the economy was run like a giant hedge fund; following the economic collapse, citizens lost most of their savings and are saddled with debt and mortgages they can’t afford.  Inflation and unemployment are skyrocketing.  Is it any surprise that the neo-liberal government whose policies put Iceland into a financial vise fell following protests by infuriated citizens?deep-freeze1

So vast is their debt, Iceland’s insolvent banks may be forced to declare bankruptcy a second time.  When their own economic crises left the United States, Britain and the European Central Bank unable to bail out Iceland, the country turned to Russia and the International Monetary Fund in hopes of a financial rescue…maybe a miracle.

The interim government, a coalition of the Left-Green Party and Social Democrats, wants to rewrite Iceland’s constitution.  The goal is to “enshrine national ownership of the country’s natural resources” and to “open a new chapter in public participation in shaping the structure of the government”.  This marks a 180-degree change from the free-wheeling policies of the past where market regulation was non-existent.

Ever since American credit markets froze last fall, it’s become clear that a well-regulated economy equals a healthier one.