Posts Tagged ‘China’

Investors Are Choosing London

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

London beats Washington, D.C., as preferred destination for commercial real estate investment.London has overtaken Washington, D.C., as the preferred city for commercial real estate investment,  primarily because investors believe that prices have bottomed out and the time to get into that market is now. The British capital has overtaken the previous favorites of Washington, D.C., and New York, according to a survey conducted by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE).

“London currently offers investors the advantage of a ‘re-priced’ market,” says James Fetgatter, AFIRE’s CEO.  “The re-pricing began sooner than it did in other cities.”  London’s score is 31 points higher than the perennial favorite Washington, D.C., and 40 points ahead of New York City.  A year ago, London occupied second place, ranking four points behind Washington.  The survey of the association’s approximately 200 members was taken in the fourth quarter of 2009 and represents ownership of more than $842 billion of commercial real estate.  Of that, $304 billion is invested in the United States.

London, along with the rest of the United Kingdom, has rebounded with investment rising 56 percent from the first to the second half of 2009.  Property values rose 2.4 percent in November, the largest monthly increase in 15 years.  Savills, the real estate advisory firm, is predicting London will eclipse New York as the fastest growing global financial center.

Despite London’s success, the United States is still preferred as the “most stable and secure real estate investment environment,” according to 44 percent of survey respondents.  This is the first time the United States ranked below 50 percent in the survey.  It ranked 53 percent in 2008 and 57 percent in 2007.  Germany occupies second place with 21 percent.  In terms of price appreciation, the United States ranks first, followed by the United Kingdom and China.

The preferred property for investment is multifamily residential, followed by office, industrial, retail and hotel.

Downturn in Economy Triggers Outsourcing and Contract Work in India

Thursday, October 1st, 2009

genpact22With U.S. unemployment figures approaching 10 percent, it has affected parts of the tech industry with the chip and system design areas among the most affected (unemployment is 8.6 percent among American software engineers although the overall tech sector is faring better with an unemployment rate under five percent).  In response, it has led seasoned talent to eschew searching for a new job in favor of offering their services to the highest bidder, according to a new online report.

It’s also been a boon for countries overseas.  American companies now have access to highly skilled contract talent across the globe who can collaborate virtually.  India, especially, is reaping the benefits since approximately 64 percent of all outsourced computer-design projects went to Indian companies this year, up from 51 percent the previous year.  Trailing close behind was China, which raked in 33 percent.

Jacob Cherian is AlterNow’s India Contributor. He is a freelance business writer based in Kerala, India.  He has written about business outsourcing for Offshore Advisor.

India Still Lags in Innovation

Tuesday, September 8th, 2009

Much has been made in the world’s press about India’s economy buoyed by its IT sector. And a lot of it is justified.  The nation’s IT sector managed to grow some 20 percent in 2008, according to India’s National Association of Software and Services Companies, and IT firms have already extended 100,000 job offers for 2009.

india-outsourceBut all is not rosy for India.  While the country has surged in the basic and mid-level areas of coding and development, it has struggled in the area of R&D and top-end innovation.  India produces about 300,000 computer science graduates a year.  Yet it produces only about 100 computer science PhDs, a small fraction of the 1,500 - 2,000 that get awarded in the United States or China every year according to a recent article from Reuters.

“Students here are not exposed to research from an early age, faculties are not exposed to research and there’s no career path for innovation because there’s a lot of pressure to get a ‘real’ job,” said Vidya Natampally, head of strategy at the Microsoft India Research Centre.  Rival China has already pulled ahead with more than 1,100 R&D centers compared to less than 800 in India, despite lingering concerns about rule of law and intellectual property rights (IPR).  India is also losing out in the patent stakes. In 2006 - 2007, just 7,000 patents were granted in this country of 1.1 billion people, compared to nearly 160,000 in the United States.

India is cheaper than China for R&D.  But salaries in India have been rising by about 15 percent every year and may soon reach parity with China. R&D centre costs in Shanghai are currently just 10-15 percent higher than in India.

But this could be changing:  Microsoft, for example, has just opened a new facility in Bangalore staffed with about 60 full-time researchers, many of them Indians with PhDs from top universities in the United States.  The center “is at the cutting edge of Microsoft’s R&D, covering seven areas of research including mobility and cryptography.  Cisco, IBM, Intel, Nokia are among the other companies going beyond low-end coding to bring R&D to India.

Jacob Cherian is AlterNow’s India Contributor. He is a freelance business writer based in Kerala, India.  He has written about business outsourcing for Offshore Advisor.

Chinese Companies Face Branding Dilemma

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009

Over the last 30 years, China has become the world’s factory floor, offering a massive and highly mobile workforce, fast turnarounds and low production costs.  The “Made in China” label can be found on virtually any product sold across the globe, from shoes and clothing to power plant components and process control systems.  Even products labeled “Made in USA” — such as medication — are frequently born of Chinese-made components.

Most Americans are now well-acquainted with Chinese-made products, for better or for worse.  Yet how many Americans can name a single Chinese brand?  Lenovo might come to mind, or perhaps Tsingtao, one of China’s favorite libations.  But any list of the top global brands is invariably devoid of Chinese names.  How is it that a country of 1.3 billion people with the world’s third-largest economy has not produced any true international brands?

Newsweek offers up a few possible explanations. Their recent article on China’s branding dilemma focuses on Huawei, one of the world’s largest electronics and telecommunications firms and “the best company you’ve never heard of”.  Huawei,20090202_made_in_china_label_18 founded in 1988, is so substantial that they are “poised to overtake Nokia Siemens as the world’s second-largest maker of telecom hardware, after Ericsson.”  In fact, “one out of six people on the planet use Huawei hardware”, but most consumers outside of China can barely pronounce the name, let alone recognize the company’s products.  Huawei’s problem?  According to Newsweek, the firm sells few products directly to consumers, does not engage the public, and spends little effort or capital on marketing.

Meanwhile, the branding challenge appears to be systemic in China.  Newsweek names four key forces that are preventing Chinese brands from emerging on the world stage:  “cutthroat domestic competition”; tough cost pressures from foreign brands; “weak protection for intellectual-property rights”; and, of course, a bad reputation for quality after the perpetual product recalls and safety violations.  After all, it was Chinese-made products that helped familiarize the average consumer with melamine in the wake of the massive Chinese milk scandal.

Branding remains an unfamiliar concept in China, so Chinese firms attempting to sell to the international consumer face an uphill battle.  Chinese firms expend quite a bit of energy copying foreign brands rather than investing in innovation.  Many of China’s major companies grew using technology or branding “borrowed” from established foreign multinationals.  Of more consequence, the Newsweek article fails to point out Huawei itself allegedly stole quite a bit of Cisco Systems’ source code.  Cisco filed suit against Huawei  in 2003 for IP infringement, a case that was settled when Huawei agreed to alter its product line.

Already, there is a major push in China towards value-added industry and innovation.  After all, China can’t rely on cheap exports forever, especially when faced with the decrease in consumer spending in traditional export markets.  As such, the branding dilemma is likely to play a major role in debates about the future of the Chinese economy.  China’s success or failure at creating international brands will have huge repercussions for the global economy.

Richard Gould is AlterNow’s China correspondent.  He is manager in the Guangzhou office of CBI Consulting, Ltd.,
Investigations, and Brand Protection in Greater China. which also has offices in Shanghai and Taipei, Taiwan.  CBI is a leading provider of Business & Competitive Intelligence,

Have We Hit Bottom Yet?

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Slowly advancing first-quarter sales may not make this the right time to pop the champagne corks-though it does represent a plateau compared with the previous quarter and suggests that the bottom may be in sight.  This update comes from Real Capital Analytics (RCA), which warns that “there is no recovery in sight”.

In its June Global Capital Trends, RCA notes that property sales in the Americas totaled an estimated $8 billion during the second quarter, down just six percent from the first quarter, an 83 percent drop for-sale-signs-lgcompared with last year.  Second-quarter totals for EMEA markets are down 24 percent from the first quarter to just $17.3 billion, a 71 percent drop from 2008.  The good news is in the Asia Pacific markets, where RCA projects an 18 percent gain over the first quarter with a total of $23.3 billion in sales, approximately half of the second-quarter worldwide numbers.

According to Robert M. White, Jr., RCA’s founder and president, “We’re probably at the bottom “in terms of transaction activity.  Globally, the upturn will be sporadic.  “If anything, the downturn was correlated more closely across property rates and geographic regions than the recovery will be.  Activity in Europe is growing, especially in the U.K.  And there is a buzz in the U.S., too.  In the past few weeks, we’ve seen more and larger deals.  I wouldn’t say it’s a quick rebound, but frankly I don’t think volume could sink any lower in the U.S.”

Pricing may be a different story, White cautions.  “We may already be there, but none of it will be realized until these distressed deals close.  We can look forward to move activity” in the fall and through year’s end.

Throwing a BRIC at the Economy

Monday, December 8th, 2008

Wonder where real estate titan Sam Zell’s investment dollars are going during these recessionary times?  Despite the global financial crisis, Zell is investing in countries like Brazil, Egypt, Mexico and China - all of which he says have a shortage of affordable housing and lack infrastructure. Zell, the chairman of Chicago-based Equity Group Investments, LLC, likes Brazil for its large pool of skilled professionals, self sufficiency and unlimited resources.  As recently as last April, Brazil’s largest mall owner reported that retail sales grow 10 percent every year.  “If you look at all of the facts, I don’t think there is a better environment in all the world than Brazil,” according to Zell, who thinks the South American nation could overtake China in economic strength within 30 years.  In Brazil and Mexico, the funding to develop housing has not been affected by the credit crunch because their financial markets are well capitalized.  Conditions are similar in Egypt, where a serious housing shortage exists, as well as in China where Zell is profiting from his investment in affordable residences.

Zell’s comments draw attention to the BRIC countries - Brazil, Russia, India, China - which continue to give hope to observers worldwide with growth rates still in strong single digits and enormous populations who have gained tremendous buying power in the last decade.

The Other Fuel Price

Wednesday, March 26th, 2008

The current debate about spiralling fuel prices uses the price of gasoline at the pump as the belwether of energy prices. In the real estate industry, the energy metric commonly raised is electricity. But another spike is more striking: Diesel fuel prices soared 26.75 cents, or 7 percent, to an average $4.0630 per gallon from $3.7955 two weeks earlier, according to a report by Reuters, Sunday, March 23, 2008. While gas prices hit us directly, diesel is the fuel of our macroeconomy, driving the global supply chain — from trucks to trains, ships, boats and barges, not to mention farm and construction equipment Worldwide demand has been increasing because of emerging economies like China and India, as well as Europe — all of which has tightened global refining capacity. Also, the Federal excise tax on diesel fuel is 24.4 cents per gallon — a full nickel higher than the tax on gasoline. Time will tell what impact this will have on the industrial real estate sector which remains strong — in part because manufacturing output in the U.S. has never been higher and continues to expand, helped by the weakening dollar which has buoyed a good deal of outbound trade. Also, retail remains solid, particularly the indy grocers and big-box retail which fuel so much of the warehouse/distribution construction in our country. Will the rising cost of fuel cause a shift in the supply chain? Perhaps the most compelling proofs of the impact of diesel prices may be anecdotal and personal. Take trucker Charles Monroe, a driver for more than 30 years. During an interview with WDEF in Chattanooga, TN, Monroe said, “Since I’ve been driving fuel prices have tripled at least. It’s about $600 to fill this one up if she’s empty.” With diesel prices at almost $4 per gallon, many drivers are cutting back. Independent trucker Jessie Smith says , “If they got three or four trucks they’re parking them and running just one and doing short hauls. The rate of the freight is not going up with the fuel prices. I’m doing mostly short hauls. They pay a little bit more per load and per mile and that helps with my fuel bill.”