Posts Tagged ‘China’

Caterpillar, Boeing Defy the Odds With Strong Sales

Monday, August 16th, 2010

Some companies are posting 90 percent growth.  One company that is holding its own despite the shaky economy is Peoria, IL-based Caterpillar, Inc., which reported an enviable quarterly profit thanks to growth in emerging markets.  The world’s largest manufacturer of construction and mining equipment is benefiting from growing mining and energy operations with orders outpacing shipments to dealers.  Additionally, Caterpillar plans to increase production during the second half of 2010 and has hired 3,650 new employees this year — 1,250 in the United States and 2,400 overseas.

Caterpillar, which laid off 30,000 employees globally from late 2008 through 2009, is being cautious, saying it still has “significant economic concerns.”  Eli Lustgarten, an economist with Longbow Research, notes that “Construction in developed countries is not doing well, particularly in the United States.”  Caterpillar is well aware that its second-quarter profit of $707 million was derived from sales which rose 116 percent in Latin America and 62 percent in the Asia/Pacific region.

Another company that is prospering is Boeing, which has delivered 191 Next Generation 737s so far this year, including 95 in the second quarter.  Chicago-based Boeing has delivered 222 airplanes in 2010.  Demand for single aisle planes comes not only from growth markets, but also for replacing older aircraft such as the 737 Classics, A320s, and McDonnell Douglas MD-80/90s.  The demand for single-aisle airplanes remained strong even during 2009, according to Boeing.  The growth of low-cost carriers, emerging intra-China demand, and a large need for replacement airplanes will keep the demand for single-aisle airplanes strong into the future.

“The world market is doing much better than last year, but there are still challenges,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes.  “Looking at 2010, we see a world economy that continues to recover.  We expect the world economy to grow above the long-term trend this year.  As a result, both passenger and cargo travel will grow this year.”

Despite Great Recession, the Rich Grew Richer

Thursday, July 29th, 2010

Even with the recession, the world’s millionaires grew to 10 million and their wealth 19 percent to $39 trillion.  It’s ironic that — even in the depths of the Great Recession — the number of millionaires around the world grew by 17 percent to 10 million.  Their collective wealth surged 19 percent to $39 trillion, according to the latest world wealth report from Merrill Lynch-Capgemini.We are already seeing distinct signs of recovery and, in some areas, a complete return to 2007 levels of wealth and growth,” said Bank of America Corporation wealth management chief Sallie Krawcheck.

India, China and Brazil are home to the majority of the world’s newest millionaires, despite the fact that they were some of the hardest hit markets in 2008.  Asia now has three million millionaires - meaning it has caught up with Europe - thanks to a 4.5 percent economic expansion rate.  Their combined wealth soared 31 percent to $9.7 trillion, outstripping Europe’s $9.5 trillion.

North America’s wealth grew by 18 percent, while the number of individuals considered rich climbed 17 percent; their wealth totals $10.7 trillion.  Last year, the United States boasted the most millionaires - 2.87 million.  Japan was next with 1.65 million; Germany had 861,000; and China 477,000.  Switzerland boasts the highest concentration of millionaires, with approximately 35 for every 1,000 adults.

According to Lyle LaMothe, Merrill Lynch’s U.S. wealth management chief, “The wealthy allocated, as opposed to concentrated, their investments.”  In other words, they put their money into fixed-income investments that provided predictable cash flow.  The trick now is to convince the wealthy to return to higher risk investments that have a higher income potential.  “There is still a hesitancy,” LaMothe notes.  “Liquidity is incredibly important and people need cash flow to preserve their lifestyle - but they want to replace that cash flow in a way that does not increase their risk profile.  Investors are open to areas they hadn’t thought about before as they try to preserve their ability to be philanthropic, to preserve their lifestyle.  To me, the report underscored that clients are involved and they’re not inclined to stay in one percent savings accounts.”

Australia Rules In Market Transparency

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

Australia’s office market is the most transparent, according to report.  Jones Lang LaSalle and LaSalle Investment Management have noted reasonable improvement in global market transparency, according to their recently released 2010 Commercial Real Estate Transparency Index.

According to the Index, Australia ranks as 2010’s most transparent market.  Canada is next in line, and improving markets include China, India, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Greece and Hungary.  Market transparency had fallen in Pakistan, Venezuela, Dubai and Bahrain.

“The 2010 Global Real Estate Transparency Index reveals a notable slowdown in the progress of real estate transparency over the past two years,” said Jacques Gordon, LaSalle Investment Management’s global head of strategy.  “It suggests that the recent turmoil in global financial, economic and real estate markets has impacted on market behavior, with real estate players focusing on survival rather than market advancement.”

The China Syndrome

Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

The unwinding of global imbalances signals the end of China's unfair advantage.  As global financial disparities start to wind down, China is likely to end up a winner because emerging-market economies have a definite advantage rooted in the way the global economy functions. Writing in the McKinsey Quarterly, Lowell Bryan, a director with McKinsey & Company, notes that “Saber-rattling Western trade negotiators frequently focus their attention on the ‘unnaturally’ depressed exchange rate of countries such as China, and this is a component of the structural advantage to which I refer.  But its roots run far deeper - all the way down to the fundamental issue that labor can’t be freely traded on a single global market, while capital and commodities can.  Any company sourcing its production or service operations in a lower-wage emerging market-country therefore can save enormously on labor costs.”

China’s recent decision to relax the informal peg of its currency, the yuan, to the U.S. dollar proves that the world must come to grips with a set of economic relationships that are currently unsustainable.  According to Lowell, “Their unwinding will have serious long-term implications for those executives’ strategic priorities, including where they locate operations and what customers they serve in which markets.  Equally important is the need for preparedness in case the unwinding process is sudden and abrupt.  While we surely seem to be headed toward a new global equilibrium, the transition to that future may not be smooth and gradual.”

The cost of labor in China and India is less than one-third of what it is in developed nations.  Additionally, Chinese and Indian productivity are at extremely high levels and tend to be in highly specialized fields - high-tech assembly in China and software development in India.  To take advantage of the cost savings, many multinational firms are locating production facilities in emerging markets.

Where Do You Look for Innovation? Not the U.S. Anymore

Monday, June 21st, 2010

Where do you find innovation?  Try the developing world.  Breakthrough ideas that change industries are increasingly coming from the developing world rather than the United States or Western Europe.  Part of this is due to the fact that the West is outsourcing more research and development to emerging markets.  Currently, Fortune 500 firms have 98 research-and-development facilities in China and an additional 63 in India.  IBM’s staff in emerging nations is larger than its U.S.-based workforce.

According to The Economist, “But it is also because emerging-market firms and consumers are both moving upmarket.  Huawei, a Chinese telecoms giant, applied for more international patents than any other firm did in 2008.  Chinese 20-somethings spend even more time on the internet than do their American peers.  Even more striking is the emerging world’s growing ability to make established products for dramatically lower costs:  no-frills $3,000 cars and $300 laptops may not seem as exciting as a new iPad but they promise to change far more people’s lives.”

Dubbed “frugal innovation”, this trend redesigns products and processes to eliminate unnecessary costs.  For example, Indian telecom provider Bharti Airtel has dramatically cut the cost of providing mobile phone services by creating unique partnerships with its competitors and suppliers.  The firm shares radio towers with competing firms and outsources network construction, operations and support to companies such as Ericsson and IBM.

Investors Are Choosing London

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

London beats Washington, D.C., as preferred destination for commercial real estate investment.London has overtaken Washington, D.C., as the preferred city for commercial real estate investment,  primarily because investors believe that prices have bottomed out and the time to get into that market is now. The British capital has overtaken the previous favorites of Washington, D.C., and New York, according to a survey conducted by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate (AFIRE).

“London currently offers investors the advantage of a ‘re-priced’ market,” says James Fetgatter, AFIRE’s CEO.  “The re-pricing began sooner than it did in other cities.”  London’s score is 31 points higher than the perennial favorite Washington, D.C., and 40 points ahead of New York City.  A year ago, London occupied second place, ranking four points behind Washington.  The survey of the association’s approximately 200 members was taken in the fourth quarter of 2009 and represents ownership of more than $842 billion of commercial real estate.  Of that, $304 billion is invested in the United States.

London, along with the rest of the United Kingdom, has rebounded with investment rising 56 percent from the first to the second half of 2009.  Property values rose 2.4 percent in November, the largest monthly increase in 15 years.  Savills, the real estate advisory firm, is predicting London will eclipse New York as the fastest growing global financial center.

Despite London’s success, the United States is still preferred as the “most stable and secure real estate investment environment,” according to 44 percent of survey respondents.  This is the first time the United States ranked below 50 percent in the survey.  It ranked 53 percent in 2008 and 57 percent in 2007.  Germany occupies second place with 21 percent.  In terms of price appreciation, the United States ranks first, followed by the United Kingdom and China.

The preferred property for investment is multifamily residential, followed by office, industrial, retail and hotel.

Downturn in Economy Triggers Outsourcing and Contract Work in India

Thursday, October 1st, 2009

genpact22With U.S. unemployment figures approaching 10 percent, it has affected parts of the tech industry with the chip and system design areas among the most affected (unemployment is 8.6 percent among American software engineers although the overall tech sector is faring better with an unemployment rate under five percent).  In response, it has led seasoned talent to eschew searching for a new job in favor of offering their services to the highest bidder, according to a new online report.

It’s also been a boon for countries overseas.  American companies now have access to highly skilled contract talent across the globe who can collaborate virtually.  India, especially, is reaping the benefits since approximately 64 percent of all outsourced computer-design projects went to Indian companies this year, up from 51 percent the previous year.  Trailing close behind was China, which raked in 33 percent.

Jacob Cherian is AlterNow’s India Contributor. He is a freelance business writer based in Kerala, India.  He has written about business outsourcing for Offshore Advisor.

India Still Lags in Innovation

Tuesday, September 8th, 2009

Much has been made in the world’s press about India’s economy buoyed by its IT sector. And a lot of it is justified.  The nation’s IT sector managed to grow some 20 percent in 2008, according to India’s National Association of Software and Services Companies, and IT firms have already extended 100,000 job offers for 2009.

india-outsourceBut all is not rosy for India.  While the country has surged in the basic and mid-level areas of coding and development, it has struggled in the area of R&D and top-end innovation.  India produces about 300,000 computer science graduates a year.  Yet it produces only about 100 computer science PhDs, a small fraction of the 1,500 - 2,000 that get awarded in the United States or China every year according to a recent article from Reuters.

“Students here are not exposed to research from an early age, faculties are not exposed to research and there’s no career path for innovation because there’s a lot of pressure to get a ‘real’ job,” said Vidya Natampally, head of strategy at the Microsoft India Research Centre.  Rival China has already pulled ahead with more than 1,100 R&D centers compared to less than 800 in India, despite lingering concerns about rule of law and intellectual property rights (IPR).  India is also losing out in the patent stakes. In 2006 - 2007, just 7,000 patents were granted in this country of 1.1 billion people, compared to nearly 160,000 in the United States.

India is cheaper than China for R&D.  But salaries in India have been rising by about 15 percent every year and may soon reach parity with China. R&D centre costs in Shanghai are currently just 10-15 percent higher than in India.

But this could be changing:  Microsoft, for example, has just opened a new facility in Bangalore staffed with about 60 full-time researchers, many of them Indians with PhDs from top universities in the United States.  The center “is at the cutting edge of Microsoft’s R&D, covering seven areas of research including mobility and cryptography.  Cisco, IBM, Intel, Nokia are among the other companies going beyond low-end coding to bring R&D to India.

Jacob Cherian is AlterNow’s India Contributor. He is a freelance business writer based in Kerala, India.  He has written about business outsourcing for Offshore Advisor.

Chinese Companies Face Branding Dilemma

Wednesday, August 5th, 2009

Over the last 30 years, China has become the world’s factory floor, offering a massive and highly mobile workforce, fast turnarounds and low production costs.  The “Made in China” label can be found on virtually any product sold across the globe, from shoes and clothing to power plant components and process control systems.  Even products labeled “Made in USA” — such as medication — are frequently born of Chinese-made components.

Most Americans are now well-acquainted with Chinese-made products, for better or for worse.  Yet how many Americans can name a single Chinese brand?  Lenovo might come to mind, or perhaps Tsingtao, one of China’s favorite libations.  But any list of the top global brands is invariably devoid of Chinese names.  How is it that a country of 1.3 billion people with the world’s third-largest economy has not produced any true international brands?

Newsweek offers up a few possible explanations. Their recent article on China’s branding dilemma focuses on Huawei, one of the world’s largest electronics and telecommunications firms and “the best company you’ve never heard of”.  Huawei,20090202_made_in_china_label_18 founded in 1988, is so substantial that they are “poised to overtake Nokia Siemens as the world’s second-largest maker of telecom hardware, after Ericsson.”  In fact, “one out of six people on the planet use Huawei hardware”, but most consumers outside of China can barely pronounce the name, let alone recognize the company’s products.  Huawei’s problem?  According to Newsweek, the firm sells few products directly to consumers, does not engage the public, and spends little effort or capital on marketing.

Meanwhile, the branding challenge appears to be systemic in China.  Newsweek names four key forces that are preventing Chinese brands from emerging on the world stage:  “cutthroat domestic competition”; tough cost pressures from foreign brands; “weak protection for intellectual-property rights”; and, of course, a bad reputation for quality after the perpetual product recalls and safety violations.  After all, it was Chinese-made products that helped familiarize the average consumer with melamine in the wake of the massive Chinese milk scandal.

Branding remains an unfamiliar concept in China, so Chinese firms attempting to sell to the international consumer face an uphill battle.  Chinese firms expend quite a bit of energy copying foreign brands rather than investing in innovation.  Many of China’s major companies grew using technology or branding “borrowed” from established foreign multinationals.  Of more consequence, the Newsweek article fails to point out Huawei itself allegedly stole quite a bit of Cisco Systems’ source code.  Cisco filed suit against Huawei  in 2003 for IP infringement, a case that was settled when Huawei agreed to alter its product line.

Already, there is a major push in China towards value-added industry and innovation.  After all, China can’t rely on cheap exports forever, especially when faced with the decrease in consumer spending in traditional export markets.  As such, the branding dilemma is likely to play a major role in debates about the future of the Chinese economy.  China’s success or failure at creating international brands will have huge repercussions for the global economy.

Richard Gould is AlterNow’s China correspondent.  He is manager in the Guangzhou office of CBI Consulting, Ltd.,
Investigations, and Brand Protection in Greater China. which also has offices in Shanghai and Taipei, Taiwan.  CBI is a leading provider of Business & Competitive Intelligence,

Have We Hit Bottom Yet?

Wednesday, June 24th, 2009

Slowly advancing first-quarter sales may not make this the right time to pop the champagne corks-though it does represent a plateau compared with the previous quarter and suggests that the bottom may be in sight.  This update comes from Real Capital Analytics (RCA), which warns that “there is no recovery in sight”.

In its June Global Capital Trends, RCA notes that property sales in the Americas totaled an estimated $8 billion during the second quarter, down just six percent from the first quarter, an 83 percent drop for-sale-signs-lgcompared with last year.  Second-quarter totals for EMEA markets are down 24 percent from the first quarter to just $17.3 billion, a 71 percent drop from 2008.  The good news is in the Asia Pacific markets, where RCA projects an 18 percent gain over the first quarter with a total of $23.3 billion in sales, approximately half of the second-quarter worldwide numbers.

According to Robert M. White, Jr., RCA’s founder and president, “We’re probably at the bottom “in terms of transaction activity.  Globally, the upturn will be sporadic.  “If anything, the downturn was correlated more closely across property rates and geographic regions than the recovery will be.  Activity in Europe is growing, especially in the U.K.  And there is a buzz in the U.S., too.  In the past few weeks, we’ve seen more and larger deals.  I wouldn’t say it’s a quick rebound, but frankly I don’t think volume could sink any lower in the U.S.”

Pricing may be a different story, White cautions.  “We may already be there, but none of it will be realized until these distressed deals close.  We can look forward to move activity” in the fall and through year’s end.