Posts Tagged ‘foreclosure’

Bernanke Sets Sights on the Growing Deficit

Wednesday, June 23rd, 2010

Ben Bernanke has the deficit jitters.  Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is warning that - even as the nation struggles to recover from the worst recession in 75 years - Congress must deal with an “unsustainable” level of debt.  “Our nation’s fiscal position has deteriorated appreciably since the onset of the financial crisis and the recession,” Bernanke said in testimony before the House Budget Committee.

Although Bernanke admits that the deficit was a necessary evil designed to bring the nation out of a deep recession, it has to be addressed in the long term because of the European debt crisis.  The budget deficit gap will narrow as the economy improves and stimulus programs are phased out.  The Fed chairman still sees several drags on the economy.  First and foremost is the jobless rate, which stands at 9.7 percent nationally, as well as the housing market that is plagued by foreclosures and short sales - of which 4.5 million are expected this year.  The good news is that the Fed’s recently updated Beige Book found that consumer and business spending are up slightly.  There is limited growth in the manufacturing, non-financial services and transportation sectors.

The housing market is expected to remain flat, thanks to the expiration of government-funded subsidies.  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, the number of people applying for mortgages has fallen to its lowest level in 13 years.  Tourism also is down, partly because of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill.  Inflation also is low, making it probable that the Fed will keep the benchmark U.S. interest rate close to zero.

Renovate-Gate

Tuesday, June 15th, 2010

Watergate Hotel has been sold and will be renovated as an “upper-upscale hotel”.   Washington, D.C.’s fabled Watergate Hotel - the site of the notorious 1972 break-in at the Democratic National Committee headquarters that set off the political scandal that toppled Richard M. Nixon’s presidency - has been sold and will be redeveloped as an “upper-upscale hotel”. According to The Wall Street Journal, Euro Capital Partners, a redevelopment specialist, purchased the 43-year-old, 251-room hotel which has been closed since 2007 and had been foreclosed on by the German bank PB Capital.

“The Watergate is exactly the profile of what we’ve done and redone many times,” according to Jacque Cohen, a Euro Capital Partners principal, “with the difference that the Watergate is even easier” because it is relatively newer.

Renovation plans include a spa, meeting spaces, restaurants and bars that Cohen said would “improve the whole Watergate complex” and the surrounding neighborhood.  Rooms at the Watergate, which is within walking distance of the Kennedy Center and Georgetown, will be priced upwards of $300 a night.  Previous Euro Capital projects have included the Hilton Arc de Triomphe Paris and Washington, D.C.’s Hamilton Crowne Hotel.  The neglected hotel’s multi-million dollar renovation is expected to take at least two years.

Headquartered in Paris and New York, Euro Capital specializes in redeveloping pre-World War II properties into upscale hotels, offices and condominiums.

Bank of America Throws a Lifeline to Underwater Homeowners

Tuesday, April 20th, 2010

BofA is writing down mortgage principal for thousands of underwater homeowners.  Bank of America (BofA) is taking steps to write down mortgage principal owed by thousands of underwater homeowners in what has been termed “the mortgage industry’s boldest move yet” to resolve the nation’s foreclosure problem.  Bank of America can well afford the initiative.

According to Betsy Graseck, a Morgan Stanley analyst, the ultimate cost of principal reductions is “immaterial” because the majority of the $10 billion pool of loans that are eligible for the write-downs are no longer carried on Bank of America’s balance sheet.  BofA holds just $1.5 to $2 billion of eligible loans and has already reserved against expected losses on these mortgages.  The loans are among the most exotic and risky subprime products that were available during the housing boom.  One is the Option ARM, which originated with an extremely low interest rate and resets at a significantly higher level after a few years.  The rest of the eligible loans - inherited by BofA through its 2007 acquisition of Countrywide Financial - are already securitized and investor owned.

Although the move is giving BofA valuable free publicity, it results from a settlement between the attorney generals of several states and the bank.  Even though some investors complained it wasn’t fair for BofA to agree to the modifications since they were not assuming the majority of the losses, the AGs refused to give up.  BofA is trying to placate the investors by assuring that the modification amounts will be reduced if house prices recover in the next few years.  Additionally, the BofA program is being called a archetype for other lenders.

Obama Administration Rolls Out New Program to Help Underwater Homeowners

Monday, April 5th, 2010

A new FHA initiative could help between three and four million distressed homeowners.  The Obama administration has announced a new initiative to assist troubled homeowners by helping them refinance with government-backed mortgages that cut monthly payments.  The program would also temporarily reduce payments for unemployed borrowers who are actively job hunting.  The government is encouraging lenders to write down the value of loans for borrowers participating in modification programs.  Officials expect this and other in-place federal programs to help between three and four million distressed homeowners over the next several years.  A Treasury Department statement said the initiatives are designed to “balance the need to help responsible homeowners struggling to stay in their homes, with the recognition that we cannot and should not help everyone.”

The thrust of the new initiative, which likely will cause some controversy, is that the government - through the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) - will help owners who are underwater or owe more than their house is worth to refinance.  Estimates are that 11 million households or 20 percent of all mortgage-holders, are underwater.  Many of these homeowners refinanced during the housing boom and took cash, putting them at risk when prices fell.  The homeowners will have to eat some of their losses, but will be in better shape than families who had no option but foreclosure.  By insuring the new loan against the risk of default, the FHA gives the borrower a good reason to make payments instead of abandoning the house.

The program’s success depends on investors’ eagerness to participate.  Over the last three years, the FHA has expanded its mortgage guarantee program to help homeowners cope with the housing crisis.  Today, the FHA guarantees more than six million borrowers, many of whom made small downpayments and currently are underwater.  Approximately $14 billion in TARP funds will fund the project.

Detroit Ice House Highlights Housing Crisis

Tuesday, February 23rd, 2010

Detroit Ice House draws attention to nation’s foreclosure crisis.  New York-based photographer Gregory Holm returned to his hometown of Detroit to draw attention to the nation’s housing crisis by coating an abandoned house with a sheet of ice.  Called the Detroit Ice House, the project was designed to inspire residents of a city with thousands of vacant homes and a foreclosure rate that is among the nation’s highest.

Working with Brooklyn-based architect Matthew Radune, Holm covered the two-story house - its windows broken and boarded-up — with ice that reflects the sunlight and icicles that reach from the roof almost to the ground.  At first, the men used rooftop sprinklers, but those froze in the cold mid-teen temperatures.  Eventually, they sprayed the house from fire hydrants via hoses.

Holm and Radune picked the house, which was about to be torn down, from Michigan’s land bank.  Additionally, they agreed to pay back taxes on another foreclosed house so a Detroit woman can move into it.  The Detroit Ice House will be torn down in spring and the building materials recycled.

“This gives them an opportunity to see something different in their neighborhood,” Holm said.  “It’s not saying it’s going to change afterward.  But it’s a gift.  This has been a real test of will.”

House Sales, Prices on the Upswing

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

Home prices nationally are on the rise again, according to a new report issued by the Standard &Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index. The average sale price rose 3.1 percent during the third quarter of 2009, the same percent increase reported during the second quarter.  On the downside, that statistic is still nine percent lower than the number reported one year ago.

In Chicago, prices rose 1.1 percent from August on a seasonally adjusted basis.  Local prices were still 10.6 percent below the level reported for September of 2008, the fifth consecutive month to report an increase.  At the same time, Chicago-area home sales jumped by one-third in October, compared to a year ago, according to the Illinois Association of Realtors.   The group cited lower home prices, affordable mortgage rates and the federal tax credit for first-time buyers as reasons for the rise.

According to David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s, “We have seen broad improvement in home prices for most of the past six months.”  Case-Shiller’s 20-City Composite index rose 0.3 percent compared with the August numbers.  The city with the worst-performing market is Las Vegas, where prices have fallen for 37 months in a row and now are 55.4 percent off their highs.  Chicago home prices rose 1.2 percent during the third quarter.

In another snapshot of the housing market, a report from First American CoreLogic revealed that nearly 25 percent of all mortgage borrowers are underwater.  This condition, as well as the high number of foreclosures, raise doubts about the staying power of the recent upward price trend.

Fannie Mae Program Seeks to Keep Families in Their Homes Rather than Foreclose

Monday, November 30th, 2009

03how1_583Homeowners facing foreclosure will soon be able to rent their homes from the government controlled Fannie Mae. Called Deed to LeaseTMthe program lets homeowners transfer ownership of their home to Fannie Mae. They then sign a one-year lease, with the option of month-to-month extensions available.  Fannie Mae will try to sell the homes during the year-long rental period.

In the first half of 2009 Fannie Mae took about 57,000 homes into foreclosures which became REO. In the same period they did about 1200 deed-in-lieu of foreclosures but those borrowers didn’t rent the homes back. It is likely that a significant percentage of potential foreclosures which cannot enter loan modification will be eligible for the D4L program as the requirements on credit quality are quite lenient.

According to Jay Ryan, Fannie Mae vice president, “The Deed to Lease Program provides an additional option for qualifying homeowners who are facing foreclosure and are not eligible for modifications.  This new program helps eliminate some of the uncertainty of foreclosure, keeps families and tenants in their homes during a transitional period, and helps to stabilize neighborhoods and communities.”

Deed to Lease serves borrowers who are unable to qualify for a loan modification, but still want to remain in their homes.  To qualify for the program, the owners must live in the home and offer proof that they can afford the market rent, which is determined by a third-party company hired to manage the properties.  The rent must be less than 31 percent of the resident’s pretax income.

This program is a major step towards acceptance of rentals as a solution to the overhang of potential foreclosures in US single family residences. It recognizes that keeping families in homes that they had chosen to live in and own in the recent past is healthy for the family, the neighborhood and the house itself.

A few things about D4L are worth noting:

  • D4L is offered for mortgages that are part of securitized pools not whole loans unless serviced by Fannie Mae so it is likely that many banks with whole loans will not be able to use the program. However, it provides banks a positive signal about a business model that turns homeowners into renters if loan modifications cannot be done. Banks should thus be more amenable to creative solutions to the looming foreclosure waves on single family residences.
  • Participation in either the D4L program or an internally run analogous program does not provide the bank with any incremental new capital. The bank may or may not have or want to take a hit to capital depending on whether they believe they can sell the house for its mortgage value in the future.
  • There is no borrower upside in the medium term or long term — Fannie Mae reserves the right to market the property for sale while the lease is in force but the only incentive for the occupant to maintain the house is the threat of eviction.
  • Since the transaction is a Deed-in-Lieu transaction, the bank retains the right to come after the former homeowner for a deficiency judgment in the future if the bank cannot get its mortgage value on the future sale of the house.
  • Fannie Mae will become a landlord and will need property managers. They are unlikely to build that capability in-house to the extent they don’t already have it. This is a positive development for private physical property management services as single family residential property managers will be critical to the success of the D4L program.

The broad implication is positive as the program validates our company, Lifeline’s, rental and property management model as well as the social desirability of keeping homes occupied, ideally with its former owners.

S. Jafer Hasnain is a Managing Partner of Lifeline Assets, a Chicago-based real-estate private equity firm which he co-founded in 2008. Mr. Hasnain was previously a portfolio manager and analyst at AllianceBernstein for 14 years with stints at Merrill Lynch, Citibank and Goldman Sachs prior to that.

Federal Mortgage Modification Program Hits Target

Thursday, October 29th, 2009

Federal Mortgage Modification Program Hits TargetThe federal government’s program to help homeowners facing foreclosure has reached its target of 500,000 mortgage modifications by November 1.  “There is a lot of work left to do,” said Shaun Donovan, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development.  “Today’s announcement is a good step forward, but we are nowhere near the finish line.”  The long-term goal is to help 3,000,000 to 4,000,000 homeowners over the next three years.

Currently, 63 servicers are participating in the program, an increase over the 47 reported at the end of August, according to Treasury Department data.  JP Morgan Chase has started the most modifications, with 117,000 underway, representing 27 percent of their eligible delinquencies.  Bank of America increased its modifications by 62 percent during September, with nearly 95,000 trial modifications covering 11 percent of eligible loans underway.

Mortgage Bankers Association statistics note that, as of August, one in 7.6 mortgages was late with payments or in foreclosure.  The poor economy and declining real estate prices are the primary reason for these foreclosures.  Additionally, 25 percent of homeowners owe more on their house than it is currently worth.

A September report on loan servicer performance found that 19 percent of eligible homeowners had been offered loan modifications, though problems persist.  For example, Bank of America - the servicer with the most eligible loans - had started modifications on just seven percent of its mortgages during September.

Listen to our podcast on solving the foreclosure crisis.

Don’t Want to Buy Distressed Assets? Then Try Insuring Them

Thursday, September 17th, 2009

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has started selling insurance coverage on foreclosed homes occupied by distressed borrowers with the goal of making money from banks hurt by the mortgage market collapse.  These policies are riskier than usual home coverage because the properties may be neglected or vandalized.

“It’s part of the standard practice of Berkshire, which is to respond opportunistically,” said Tom Russo, a partner at Gardner Russo & Gardner, which owns shares in Berkshire.  “They have the capital to act and the credibility.”

mp_main_wide_warrenbuffett2Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway has $24.5 billion in cash, cut back on coverage of large commercial properties against catastrophes like hurricanes when the recession started and demand fell.  The home insurance venture positions Omaha-based Berkshire Hathaway to benefit from the supply of foreclosed properties that has grown fourfold in three years.  Because Buffett came through the subprime crisis in good shape, he has been able to increase his holdings in companies hurt by the recession in markets where demand is growing.

Berkshire Hathaway’s expansion in the area of foreclosed and distressed property insurance is noteworthy.  What’s key is that they have been able to come up with some level of asset valuation (i.e., home price or home replacement cost) in order to be comfortable pricing such insurance.  This is a good signal which would indicate that, at minimum, smart money is comfortable with home valuations at some level, and is willing to underwrite to those values.

S. Jafer Hasnain is a Managing Partner of Lifeline Assets, a Chicago-based real-estate private equity firm which he co-founded in 2008. Mr. Hasnain was previously a portfolio manager and analyst at AllianceBernstein for 14 years with stints at Merrill Lynch, Citibank and Goldman Sachs prior to that.

Distressed CRE Hits $108 Billion

Monday, August 3rd, 2009

More than $108 billion of commercial properties in the United States are now in default, foreclosure or bankruptcy.   That preliminary statistic is nearly double the amount reported at the start of 2009, according to New York-based Real Capital Analytics, Inc.19and20

At the end of June, 5,315 buildings were reported to be in financial distress.  Hotels and retail properties are the most “problematic” assets after bankruptcy filings by mall owner General Growth Properties, Inc., and Extended Stay America, Inc.  The lack of credit is spurring property defaults throughout the country and among every type of investor.

“Perhaps more alarming than the rapid growth in the distress totals is the very modest rate at which troubled situations are being resolved,” according to Real Capital Analytics.  The good news is that approximately $4.1 billion of commercial properties have emerged from distress.  “In far more situations, modifications and short-term extensions are being granted, but these can hardly be considered resolved, only delayed,” the report notes.