Posts Tagged ‘global financial system’

Bernanke Report to Congress: Signs of Stabilization

Friday, July 24th, 2009

In his semi-annual testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that although the economy is exhibiting “tentative signs of stabilization,he plans to maintain a “highly accommodative” monetary policy for the time being.  According to Bernanke, “The pace of decline appears to have slowed significantly.  In light of the substantial economic slack and limited inflation pressures, monetary policy remains focused on fostering economic recovery.”

A Fed report related to Bernanke’s testimony notes that policy will be “tightened” as the labor market improves, as the economic recovery begins and as pressures limiting inflation “diminish”.  Bernanke also defended the central bank’s moves to restore financial stability and urged lawmakers to make plans to rein in the deficit.  The Federal Open Market Committee is keeping interest rates “exceptionally low”, with the benchmark lending rate in the zero to 0.25 percent range.

bernankefaithThe Fed is planning to purchase as much as $1.25 trillion of mortgage-backed securities, $200 billion of federal agency debt by the end of 2009, and $300 billion in long-term Treasuries by September.  Bernanke believes that some of these assets may remain on the Fed’s books for an undetermined period of time.

“Aggressive policy actions taken around the world last fall may well have averted the collapse of the global financial system,” Bernanke noted. “Many of the improvements in financial conditions can be traced, in part, to policy actions taken by the Federal Reserve.”

Bernanke’s comments point to the enormous influence of the Fed worldwide, not least of which is countries pegged to the U.S. dollar – like Kuwait – or that claim the dollar as their currency – like Panama.

“The Giant Pool of Money”

Thursday, May 21st, 2009

$70 trillion dollars.  That’s all the money in the world, or to get technical, the subset of global dollarsavings known as fixed-income securities.  And it almost doubled from $36 trillion in just six years.  How did this happen?

The Federal Reserve presided over the creation of what we have learned (the hard way) is a monster of unregulated investment vehicles run amok, resulting in the global credit crisis.

In the words of National Public Radio’s international business reporter Adam Davidson, “What he (former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan) is saying is he’s going to keep the Fed Funds rate at the absurdly low level of one percent.  It tells every investor in the world:  you are not going to make any money at all on U.S. treasury bonds for a very long time.  Go somewhere else.  We can’t help you.  And so the global pool of money looked around for some low-risk, high-return investment.  And among the many things they put their money into, there was one thing they fell in love with.”

Investment companies fell in love with securitizing mortgages, bundling them into enormous pools – in some cases, pools of as many as 16 million loans — and selling them in shares to investors.  To make the pool of mortgages even larger, they created vehicles like adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), subprime mortgages and no-income, no-asset loans that allowed people to buy homes or take out home equity loans that they simply could not afford.  Last 02192006_iraglassSeptember, this house of cards came crashing down, setting off the global credit crisis and making an ongoing recession the worst in a generation.

Click here  to listen to the full “The Giant Pool of Money” podcast from “This American Life” to learn exactly what happened and why.  I know of no better description of how the recession happened.