Posts Tagged ‘mortgage’

Will Surge in Mortgage Applications Find a Home?

Wednesday, December 17th, 2008

The residential mortgage market is experiencing an unexpected – but welcome — boom, a result of interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans falling to 5.47 percent from 5.99 percent.  According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly review, the average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate loan – popular when refinancing – fell to 5.13 percent from 5.78 percent.  A one-year adjustable-rate mortgage decreased to 6.61 percent from 6.87 percent. The existing-mortgage refinance rate tripled during Thanksgiving week, while purchase volume increased 38 percent.  Refinance applications were 69.1 percent of the total volume, a significant increase over the 49.3 percent reported during the previous week.  The survey covers approximately 50 percent of all weekly residential mortgage originations.

The MBA reported that the application rate more than doubled during the short Thanksgiving week.  The trade group’s application rate rose to 857.7 in the week ending November 28, compared with 404.4 the previous week.

Clearly, part of the demand is being driven by buyers locked into floating-rate or short-term debt or adjustable-rate mortgages looking to refinance into fixed-interest vehicles.  While Frannie and Freddie should fill some of the void in light of their $20 billion bailout, the market will still have a financing shortfall with the disappearance of CDOs and the securities market.

Construction-Loan Delinquencies on the Rise

Monday, June 30th, 2008

The surge in the construction-loan delinquency rate – both residential and commercial – suggests that lenders will remain reluctant to make loans for new construction.

Developers usually finance projects through short-term construction loans.  Once the project has stabilized, the developer seeks long-term debt.  With the current economic downturn, developers are finding it difficult to obtain capital.  This is compounded by a lack of liquidity in the mortgage market.  As a result, projects are worth less than they were a year or two ago.  Lenders also are more stringent in their underwriting standards, preferring highly stabilized projects with significant pre-leasing.

Short-term, the outlook is negative, as maturing loans may have problems refinancing if liquidity is non-existent.

The silver lining is that seasoned developers with strong lending relationships and leased portfolios are better positioned to develop product on an “as-needed-and-warranted” basis.