Posts Tagged ‘Reis’

Federal Presence Strengthens Washington, D.C.’s Office Market

Tuesday, September 7th, 2010

Washington, D.C.’s 10.4 percent office vacancy rate is far below the 17.3 percent national average.  Washington, D.C.’s commercial real estate market – including its Virginia and Maryland suburbs – continues to be the nation’s most stable with vacancy rates far below the national average.  The area’s vacancy rate stood at 10.4 percent at the end of the first quarter, far below the 17.3 percent national average, according to Reis, a New York-based real estate research firm.  Effective rents have fared well through the Great Recession, sliding just five percent from their 2009 peak high of $41.43 PSF.

“There is a tremendous amount of domestic capital looking to invest in D.C. for obvious reasons,” said John Kevill, managing director in Jones Lang LaSalle’s Washington, D.C. office.  “Aside from its solid fundamentals, investor demand is being stoked by the area’s dominant industry, the federal government.  The office market is benefitting from continued government spending in areas such as healthcare, the war on terror and the economic stimulus package.  That activity is really differentiating our economy from virtually every other economy in the country, which is why we are seeing an increase in transactional velocity”

As an example, Jones Lang LaSalle at present is listing twice the number of for-sale properties than just one year ago.  A key selling point for an office building in Landover, MD, is a 10-year lease just signed with the General Services Administration (GSA) on behalf of the Department of Defense.  The two-story Class B office building recently sold for a cap rate of 8.4 percent; the purchaser was the Government Properties Income Trust.  Real Capital Analytics reports that cap rates for Maryland office properties averaged 9.4 percent over the past year.

Investors Showing Scant Interest in Mid-Tier Office Properties

Wednesday, August 18th, 2010

Mid-tier property transactions still awaiting recovery.  Although property investment – especially for trophy buildings – is coming back more strongly than industry analysts had anticipated, mid-tier properties are not yet enjoying a similar rebound.  According to Real Capital Analytics (RCA), properties valued at $20.6 billion were sold during the 2nd quarter of 2010, an 86 percent increase over last year.

According to Dan Fasulo, an RCA analyst, owners of mid-tier properties are having more difficulty finding buyers.  “Eventually the bidders who keep losing out on these competitions are going to readjust their expectations and will start to try other strategies, whether it’s investing in lower-quality property or going into a secondary market.  It’s inevitable.”

Declining vacancy rates also could create renewed interest in mid-tier properties, said Ryan Severino, an economist with Reis, which believes that national office vacancy rate will fall from its 17.7 percent peak this year.  “A lot depends on what happens to the office sector overall, but we are beginning to see the first glimmer of stabilization,” Severino said.  Still, financing for smaller transactions is difficult to obtain – a stark contrast with trophy property deals.

Some smaller community banks are willing to provide capital to owners of mid-tier properties.  In the 1st quarter of 2010, approximately 80 percent of mortgage originations refinanced existing projects, according to Randy Fuchs, a principal of Boxwood Means, a real estate analysis firm.  In contrast, refinancing comprised just 50 to 60 percent of loan originations in 2006 and 2007.

It’s a Renter’s Market

Tuesday, January 26th, 2010

Apartment vacancies in the United States hit a 30-year high during the fourth quarter of 2009 as many would-be renters moved in with family or roommates to save money.  According to Reis, Inc., a New York research firm that tracks vacancies and rents in 79 markets across the country, the apartment vacancy rate was eight percent at year’s end.Apartment vacancies at a 30-year high as failed condominiums glut the market.

Rents declined by three percent in 2009, even as landlords upped the ante to attract creditworthy renters.  In New York City, effective rents – which include concessions such as one month free rent – fell 5.6 percent last year, the worst performance since Reis first tracked data in 1990.  Asking rents fell 2.3 percent from 2008 to an average of $1,026. Effective rents, what tenants actually paid, decreased three percent to $964.

“We’ll shampoo their carpets.  We’ll paint accent walls.  We’ll add Starbucks cards,” said Richard Campo, chief executive of Camden Property Trust, a Houston-based REIT that owns 63,000 apartments.  Complicating the situation is competition from 120,000 new rental units that came on the market last year.  These include some failed condominium projects that were converted to rentals.  A hefty percentage of these developments had secured loans before the credit markets froze.  With new development at a virtual standstill, apartment completions are expected to decline 50 percent in 2011.  For apartment owners, the limited new supply means they can increase rents as soon as job growth returns.

“If you are renting a place, now might be a good time to renegotiate that lease,” advises Victor Calanog, Reis’ director of research, who predicts that the apartment sector could recover in the second half of 2010 if jobs start returning or people think the economy is improving.