Posts Tagged ‘US treasury bonds’

The Fed Responds to Stimulus Criticism

Wednesday, November 24th, 2010

Fed officials defend new stimulus actions against criticism.  The Federal Reserve – in a highly unusual action – is defending its recent purchase of Treasury bonds in an effort to get the U.S. economy moving. Critics of the decision to purchase additional assets, led by former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, conservative economists and writers, representatives of foreign governments – not to mention Sarah Palin — say that the Fed is deliberately weakening the dollar to make American exports more competitive.  Other arguments are that the Treasury bond purchases could eventually cause inflation and that the action won’t stimulate economic growth.

William Dudley, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, countered that the objective is not to weaken the dollar or cause inflation.  In fact, he believes that the Fed’s moves are already having a positive impact.  “You’ve seen a significant easing of financial conditions,” according to Dudley.  “I have to believe that the expectation of a second large-scale asset purchase program was the primary driver of those changes.”  Fed Vice Chairman, Janet Yellen, agrees, telling the Wall Street Journal that action was necessary to spur the economy.  If there is no monetary stimulus, Yellen says “I’m having a hard time seeing where really robust growth can come from.”

Dudley’s and Yellen’s comments seem to confirm that the Fed is no longer staying out of public debate over its policies.  Although the Fed has typically remained above the fray to maintain its appearance of political independence, that stance has proved untenable in the face of the turmoil that resulted from the financial crisis.  As a result, the Fed is now open to criticism from small-government conservatives and liberals who don’t trust Wall Street.  Unfortunately for the Fed, Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX) — who based his 2008 presidential bid on his opposition to monetary policy – will soon chair the committee that oversees the Fed and plans to use the post as a “mini bully pulpit,” he said.

“The Giant Pool of Money”

Thursday, May 21st, 2009

$70 trillion dollars.  That’s all the money in the world, or to get technical, the subset of global dollarsavings known as fixed-income securities.  And it almost doubled from $36 trillion in just six years.  How did this happen?

The Federal Reserve presided over the creation of what we have learned (the hard way) is a monster of unregulated investment vehicles run amok, resulting in the global credit crisis.

In the words of National Public Radio’s international business reporter Adam Davidson, “What he (former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan) is saying is he’s going to keep the Fed Funds rate at the absurdly low level of one percent.  It tells every investor in the world:  you are not going to make any money at all on U.S. treasury bonds for a very long time.  Go somewhere else.  We can’t help you.  And so the global pool of money looked around for some low-risk, high-return investment.  And among the many things they put their money into, there was one thing they fell in love with.”

Investment companies fell in love with securitizing mortgages, bundling them into enormous pools – in some cases, pools of as many as 16 million loans — and selling them in shares to investors.  To make the pool of mortgages even larger, they created vehicles like adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), subprime mortgages and no-income, no-asset loans that allowed people to buy homes or take out home equity loans that they simply could not afford.  Last 02192006_iraglassSeptember, this house of cards came crashing down, setting off the global credit crisis and making an ongoing recession the worst in a generation.

Click here  to listen to the full “The Giant Pool of Money” podcast from “This American Life” to learn exactly what happened and why.  I know of no better description of how the recession happened.