Archive for the ‘Hospital Systems’ Category

Study Tracks Development of ACOs

Wednesday, December 14th, 2011

Accountable care organizations (ACOs) are the biggest thing in healthcare today, and a new study by Leavitt Partners quantifies exactly how hot they are.  ACOs, as defined in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), are a delivery model that offers doctors and hospitals financial incentives to provide quality care to Medicare patients and keep costs affordable.

Even though ACOs are not yet operating, there are already 164 “ACO entities” in the country, according to a report by Leavitt Partners, a consulting firm led by Mike Leavitt, a former governor of Utah and Secretary of Health and Human Services during President George W. Bush’s administration.  In his survey of ACOs, Leavitt examined news releases, media reports, trade groups and conducted interviews and concluded that a health system is an ACO if it either self-identified as one or was “adopting the tenets of accountable care.”  The study included systems that work with private payers rather than Medicare.

Of the 164 “ACO entities” identified, 99 are sponsored by hospital systems, 38 by physician groups and 27 by insurers.  They are in 41 states, although there were vast regional discrepancies.  Poor, rural regions reported minimal ACO growth.

“A quiet scramble is clearly underway,” Andrew Croshaw, managing director at Leavitt Partners and director of the Leavitt Partners Center for ACO Intelligence, said.  “In certain markets, competition to establish leadership is already emerging.”

Due to the rush to complete the study, ACOs may be prolific in certain areas while sparse in some regions of the country.  Even though ACOs are still a new concept, certain states are already home to significant accountable care activity, primarily in Texas, California, and Michigan.  In general, states with larger populations have more ACOs.  “Adoption of this model will vary greatly due to both regional differences as well as variations among the sponsoring entities,” the report states.

Of the 164 ACOs that researchers examined, nearly 60 percent were established by hospitals or health systems, indicating a trend toward hospital systems leading the development of ACOs.  Leavitt Partners examined the trends of “ACO or ACO-like organizations,” meaning the report loosely defined an ACO as an entity that is “financially accountable for the healthcare needs of a population, manages the care of that population and bear that responsibility at an organizational level.”

The success of the various ACOs is still not known. According to the report, although there are different models of providing accountable care, the most successful approaches at achieving an ACO’s goals is still undecided.  “With neither a set definition, nor a national method for identifying ACOs, it is difficult to precisely identify and study such organizations,” according to the report.  “It is possible that some of the organizations, which should be considered ACOs, are missing from our study and some, such as organizations that self-identify as ACOs but will never ultimately adopt any type of care coordination or bear any risk for a population, may not belong.”

The final ACO rule provides more flexibility for eligible providers and increases the amount of possible bonuses.  The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), which released the rule in October, also decreased the number of quality measures from 65 in five domains to 33 in four domains.  Although the full implications of the rule are not yet known, providers’ responses reflected their desire for long-term care to actively participate.  ”We certainly want to ensure skilled nursing and post-acute facilities are part of the cost-saving model,” according to the American Health Care Association President and CEO Mark Parkinson.

There are some who are not quite so bullish about ACOs. One is J. Thomas Rosch, commissioner of the Federal Trade Commission, who is deeply skeptical about ACOs.  According to Rosch, “even in the most optimistic scenario, the savings to Medicare from the ACO program are no more than a rounding error.”  He also believes that there is a possibility that providers may form ACOs not to collaborate or improve healthcare, but to gain market share.

“Against the very meager prospects for cost savings, there is a very real risk that some ACOs will be formed with an eye toward creating or exercising market power.  The net result of the Shared Savings Program may therefore be higher costs and lower quality healthcare — precisely the opposite of its goal,” Rosch said.

Americans Spend More on Healthcare Than Comparable Nations

Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

The United States spends far more on healthcare than other countries, although Americans visit the doctor and are hospitalized less often than most of the other 34 member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development OECD).  In its Health at a Glance 2011 report, the OECD shows that the United States spent about $7,960 per person on healthcare in 2009 – approximately 2.5 times the average of the countries studied.  It also determined that health spending in the U.S. has grown faster than in all other high-income OECD countries since 1970, even accounting for population growth.

“Why?” asks Julie Appleby in Kaiser Health News.  “Generally, prices for medical care are higher in the U.S. – and some services are performed more often.  Hospital prices are 60 percent higher than the average of 12 selected OECD countries, and the U.S. also generally pays more for each appendectomy, birth, joint replacement or cardiac procedure.  Americans have more imaging tests, such as CT scans and MRIs, than residents of other countries and are far more likely to have knee replacements, coronary angioplasty or surgery to remove their tonsils.  Even with all that, compared with most of the other developed countries, the U.S. has fewer practicing physicians per person, fewer hospital beds, and patients don’t stay as long in the hospital.  Administrative costs in the U.S. are also high, the report notes, accounting for about seven percent of total spending.  That is roughly comparable to what is spent in France and Germany, which have universal health coverage.  In Canada — another country with national healthcare – administrative costs are about four percent of health spending.”

“The U.S. is just this astonishing outlier compared to everyone else,” said Mark Pearson, the head of the OECD’s social policy division. A significant part of the difference relates to pricing.  American patients don’t spend more time in the hospital or visit more doctors than patients in other OECD countries; they pay more for everything.  Physician fees are more than twice the average cost, for example, while drugs and hospital care cost 60 percent more.  In terms of results, however, the U.S. does not come out on top.  Life expectancy in 2009 was 78.2 years, below the OECD average of 79.5.  That puts the nation closer to the Czech Republic and Chile, “not countries you would usually expect the U.S. to be compared to,” Pearson said.

The U.S. also has one of the poorest records in terms of premature mortality in general and mortality from heart disease in particular.  Americans have the highest obesity rate — with more than one-third of the population considered obese.  They also have one of the highest rates of hospital admission for illnesses that are optimally managed by primary-care physicians, including asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (including emphysema), and diabetes.

The news isn’t all bad.  The OECD report notes that the U.S. does an excellent job of cancer care, with very high survival rates and low mortality rates.  Stroke deaths are well below average in the United States.

Americans spend approximately 17.4 percent of its gross domestic product on healthcare; other OECD nations spend an average of 9.6 percent of their GDPs on healthcare.  According to OECD, the U.S. has an “underdeveloped” primary-care system that physician shortages only intensify.  There are 2.4 physicians for every 1,000 Americans, compared with an average of 3.1 in other countries.  Additionally, there are 3.1 hospital beds per 1,000 Americans, compared with 4.9 per 1,000 in other countries.

The Washington Post’s Ezra Klein thinks that Americans spend too much on healthcare. According to Klein, “There are a lot of complicated explanations for why American healthcare costs so much, but there are also some simple ones.  Chief among them is ‘we pay too much.’  And I don’t mean in general.  I mean specifically.  Mountains of research show that for every piece of care you might name — a drug, a doctor visit, a diagnostic — you’ll pay far more in the United States than in other countries.  That’s why seniors head to Canada to buy drugs made in the United States.  In Canada, the government negotiates one low price.  In America, insurers with much less bargaining power negotiate many higher prices.”

According to Ezekiel Emanuel, a bioethicist and fellow at the nonprofit bioethics research institute The Hastings Center, “Unfortunately, few people really understand how much we spend on healthcare, how much we need to spend to provide quality care, and the difference between the two.  Do we spend too much?  Let’s begin with the costs.  In 2010, the United States spent $2.6 trillion on healthcare, over $8,000 per American. This is such an enormous amount of money, it’s difficult to grasp.

“Consider this: France has the fifth largest economy in the world, with a gross domestic product of nearly $2.6 trillion.  The United States spends on healthcare alone what the 65 million people of France spend on everything: education, defense, the environment, scientific research, vacations, food, housing, cars, clothes and healthcare.  In other words, our health care spending is the fifth largest economy in the world.

“The fact is that when it comes to healthcare, the United States is on another planet.  The United States spends around 50 percent more per person than the next highest-spending countries, Switzerland and Norway.”

HHS Awards State Health Insurance Exchange Dollars

Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) awarded nearly $220 million to 13 states to help them set up insurance exchanges under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA). States were also allowed additional time to apply for future grants while HHS stipulated that states who create their own internet-based exchanges must be operational in all states in 2014.

The recent awards bring to 29 the number of states that have made significant progress in creating Affordable Insurance Exchanges.  States that received funding include Alabama, Arizona, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Nebraska, New Mexico, Rhode Island, Tennessee, and Vermont.  “We are committed to giving states the flexibility to implement the Affordable Care Act in the way that works for them,” HHS Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said.  “Exchanges will give consumers more choices and make it easy to compare and shop for insurance plans.”  In the new Exchanges, insurers will provide an easily understandable summary of benefits and costs to consumers.  The level of detail will hone competition between carriers, which is expected to make coverage more affordable.

It’s interesting to note that despite extensive opposition to the ACA, a majority of states have now accepted federal funding to establish health insurance exchanges.  Alaska is the only state that hasn’t applied for federal grants.

Of the 13 states that received this new round of grants, 12 are Level One grants, which provide one year of funding to states that have already made progress using their Exchange planning grant.  The 13th state, Rhode Island, received the initial Level Two grant, which provides multi-year funding to states that have made significant progress in the planning process.  Forty-nine states and Washington, D.C. have already received planning grants; 45 states have consulted with consumer advocates and insurance companies.  Thirteen states have passed legislation to create an Exchange.

The money is intended to provide the states with adequate flexibility and resources to deploy the marketplaces where consumers can shop and compare for a private health insurance plan that fits their needs.  The exchanges are slated to go live just two years from now.

According to Chiquita Brooks-LaSure, HHS director of coverage policy, “We continue to urge all states to establish their own exchanges and move forward with their implementation…while waiting for the Supreme Court to rule.”  The exchanges are a “bipartisan concept,” and states know that if they don’t establish an exchange by 2014, HHS will create one for them. She is “confident the law will be upheld.”  Sebelius said that as a former governor, state insurance commissioner and legislator, she understands “the importance of letting states lead” in creating their own version of a transparent healthcare system in which “insurance companies will have to compete for customers.  That means lower prices and better quality in the same marketplace in which members of Congress will have to shop for their coverage.”

The latest grants come nearly a month after the National Association of Insurance Commissioners asked HHS for greater flexibility in setting up the exchanges, suggesting state insurance commissioners might miss critical deadlines because they lack adequate funding and staff.  Additionally, HHS will delay by six months the deadline for states to apply for more federal funding to help run the exchanges.  HHS also will offer federal aid to states that miss deadlines.

Super Committee’s Failure Raises Questions About Healthcare Funding

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011

Now that the Super Committee has failed to identify $1.2 trillion in cuts from the federal budget, automatic cuts totaling billions for everything from Medicare to biomedical research, start in 2013.  Some healthcare sectors will fare better than others.  The primary health entitlement programs, Medicare and Medicaid, are protected under the law that created the Super Committee.  Automatic cuts will not impact Medicaid, the joint federal-state health program for the poor.  Medicare would be cut by two percent – all from payments to hospitals and other providers.

The bad news is that unless Congress reworks the legislation mandating the automatic cuts, a series of across-the-board reductions will begin in 2013.  The House and Senate appropriations committees must decide how to spread the cuts among various programs.  And some of the larger, better-financed lobbies may be able to influence what is cut and what is kept.

Even though the Medicare cuts are limited to hospitals and other medical providers and would not exceed two percent, they argue that is too much and that they sacrificed plenty in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA).  Rich Umbdenstock, president and CEO of the American Hospital Association, said sweeping cuts would hurt Medicare beneficiaries and their families and “also have an impact on the ability of hospitals to provide essential public services to the communities they serve given the impact that Medicare has on the entire healthcare system.”

Officially known as the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction, the Super Committee was unable to meet its deadline to come up with $1.2 trillion of deficit reduction required by the law that created it, much less the $4 trillion that deficit hawks said was necessary to stabilize the finances of the U.S. government, whose debt has topped $15 trillion.  The failure ensures that the fiscal debate between Democrats who want to protect social programs and increase revenue by raising taxes on the wealthy; and Republicans who want smaller government and have pledged to reject tax increases will be a fundamental choice confronting voters in 2012.

“After months of hard work and intense deliberations, we have come to the conclusion today that it will not be possible to make any bipartisan agreement available to the public before the committee’s deadline,” Representative Jeb Hensarling,(R-TX), and Senator Patty Murray, (D-WA) said.  The co-chairs thanked committee members, staffers and “the American people for sharing thoughts and ideas and for providing support and good will as we worked to accomplish this difficult task.”

Writing for Politico, David Nather speculates on whether the Super Committee’s failure has harmed efforts to reform Medicare and Medicaid.  It would be easy to conclude that the Super Committee’s failure means the big, expensive health care entitlement programs — Medicare and Medicaid — are untouchable.  It also would be wrong.  The timing was off, coming too close to a presidential election.  The co-chairs weren’t powerful enough.  The work came too soon after a summer debt deal that Democrats hated.  Republicans couldn’t give the kind of concessions on taxes that Democrats needed.  And the alternative to a Super Committee deal on healthcare entitlements — the two percent automatic cuts in healthcare payments and defense funding that will now take place in 2013 — wasn’t harsh enough to force a deal on Medicare and Medicaid. In fact, it might even have been the easier way out.  All of which means Medicare and Medicaid are not off the table forever.”

The Hill’s Sam Baker offers a different perspective. “The Super Committee’s demise is a mixed bag for the American Medical Association and other groups that wanted the 12-member panel to tackle Medicare’s payment formula, known as the sustainable growth rate (SGR).  The AMA — with bipartisan support in Congress — pushed hard for the supercommittee to include in its deficit-cutting package a long-term fix to the SGR.  The formula calls for automatic annual cuts in doctors’ payments, which add up as Congress consistently delays each cut from taking effect.  Aspirations of a long-term SGR patch should be put to rest, healthcare lobbyists said. But they questioned whether the supercommittee push was ever realistic, because an SGR fix would add to the deficit.”

“I never once believed that the Joint Select Committee would be the one to do that,” said Julius Hobson, a senior adviser at the Washington, D.C.-based law firm Polsinelli Shughart and a former AMA official.

Will Cuts in Healthcare Save the Federal Budget?

Tuesday, December 6th, 2011

Healthcare budget and policy experts are waiting for Washington to eventually face the difficult task of finding even more savings to cut the deficit.  They anticipate that health spending — which makes up more than 20 percent of the federal budget — will be targeted.  Some healthcare leaders are already planning to redirect a debate they’re expecting in 2013.  They hope to prevent spending from being shifted from one part of the system to another.  Jack Lewin, chief executive of the American College of Cardiology, said that proposals to address the basic causes of high healthcare costs have mostly been ignored in Washington.

“We talk about them all the time, but there’s nothing that we’re doing in any of these proposals to get that done,” Lewin said.  “What we would like to get on the table that’s not there is a paradigm shift in thinking about how you control costs.”  According to Thomas Scully, a former Medicare administrator under President George W. Bush and now a senior counsel at Alston & Bird, an Atlanta-based law firm, “There’s going to be a Round Two (of cuts), but after the election, because of the economic pressures exerted by the national debt.”

Proposals include reducing payments to providers; asking beneficiaries to pay more for coverage; and raising the Medicare eligibility age.  The healthcare interests that might take another hit in 2013 want to start planning now.  Several key healthcare leaders – the majority of whom have been through other cost-cutting campaigns — say efforts to reduce spending too often transfer costs from the federal budget and individuals, insurers, doctors and hospitals.

These worries have caused “people from dramatically different quarters to start thinking about what to do to get their hands around this” and redirect the conversation, said Karen Ignagni, president of America’s Health Insurance Plans.  “I’ve been talking to a range of stakeholders about how to work together…to urge policymakers to look at what’s already out there now and build on it.”

The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) is one element of this debate.  Administration officials and other supporters of the law say it will help drive down costs through initiatives designed to promote primary care, emphasize on preventive medicine, study treatments to evaluate their effectiveness and rate hospitals and other providers on quality.  Other healthcare authorities counter that the law will not strongly impact costs because its reforms are small and will mature incrementally.

Additionally, the law saves money by cutting Medicare payments to hospitals and other providers; it also places some unwelcome standards on health plans.  For example, insurers cannot reject people with pre-existing conditions, must justify rate increases of 10 percent or more, and send rebates to consumers if they don’t spend a minimum of 80 percent of premiums on healthcare.

Writing in the Washington Post, Drew Altman and Larry Levitt – both with the Kaiser Family Foundation — note that “Healthcare costs are driving people into poverty.  Indeed, if the burden of healthcare expenses were not taken into account, then 10 million fewer people would have been classified as poor.  One of the biggest jumps in poverty under the new method is among people with private health insurance.  We tend to think of such people, most of whom get coverage through their jobs, as being better equipped to handle the cost of getting sick.  But even those who are insured are increasingly vulnerable to high healthcare costs, in no small part because, as costs keep rising, employers have shifted more of the burden onto workers.  The share of employees with an insurance deductible of $1,000 or more for single coverage has tripled in the past five years.  The trend is especially strong among small businesses, where half of workers faced a deductible of at least $1,000 in 2011.  For those on the edge of poverty, a big medical bill could send you over it — even if you have insurance.  The effect of healthcare costs is particularly acute for the elderly, with the proportion of seniors living in poverty increasing from nine percent under the official census measure to 16 percent under the alternative measure.  An astounding 49 percent of seniors are living at or below twice the poverty level, a threshold at which people are still considered low-income (up from 35 percent under the official method).

“It’s up to us to get really serious with the agenda so that, when the time comes after the election, we are prepared to offer serious proposals that deal with costs and that do not impair the quality of care,” said Ron Pollack, executive director of the consumer group Families USA.

Can Marilyn Tavenner Save Medicare?

Monday, December 5th, 2011

President Barack Obama’s choice of Marilyn Tavenner as administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services – to replace Dr. Donald Berwick, whose recess appointment was set to expire at the end of the year – is more likely to survive the Senate confirmation process relatively unscathed.

A Harvard-educated pediatrician, Berwick won praise and the backing of major healthcare groups for his academic work, which focused on cutting the cost of care while improving quality and patient experience.  Republicans took exception to his praise of Britain’s National Health Service as an “example” for the United States to emulate.  Others accused him of supporting “rationing” healthcare services, a claim Berwick rejects.  “Every bone in my body, as a physician, even as a person, is to get everything (patients) want and need and to help them at every step,” he said.  “I have gone to the mat to get a last-ditch bone marrow transplant for a child with leukemia…and they are telling me I’m rationing?  They haven’t met me.”

White House officials said, “Before entering government services, Tavenner spent nearly 35 years working with health care providers in significantly increasing levels of responsibility, including almost 20 years in nursing, three years as a hospital CEO, and 10 years in various senior executive-level positions for Hospital Corporation of America.”

According to Ezra Klein, “Tavenner’s healthcare experience lies much more in management than policy.  Former colleagues describe her as a patient-centered manager, a hands-on medical professional equally comfortable in the board room and the emergency room.  And in contrast to Berwick, Tavenner isn’t associated with a grand vision for health reform, or a particular policy agenda for Medicare and Medicaid.  ‘With Marilyn, you present the information, then she makes a decision, and you move on,’ said Patrick Finnerty, who served as Virginia’s Medicaid director under Tavenner.  ‘She doesn’t make promises she can’t keep.  There are differences of opinions, and she would try to work through those.  She’s straight with folks but always respectful.’”

Tavenner started her career as a nurse at Virginia hospitals owned by the Hospital Corporation of America (HCA).  Tavenner met with success, rising from chief nursing officer to CEO.  In 2004, she was again promoted to HCA’s president of outpatient services, her first national position with the firm.  She resigned two years later, when then-Virginia Governor Tim Kaine tapped her to head the state’s Health and Human Resources department.

Tavenner has already won the American Medical Association’s (AMA) backing. “We have worked extensively with her in her role as deputy administrator, and she has been fair, knowledgeable and open to dialogue,” AMA President Peter Carmel said.  “With all the changes and challenges facing the Medicare and Medicaid programs, CMS needs stable leadership, and Marilyn Tavenner has the skills and experience to provide it.”

Senator Orrin Hatch (R-UT), the ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, said that the panel would thoroughly scrutinize Tavenner, but did not say he opposes her nomination.  Despite Hatch’s mild comment, Tavenner is expected to face some difficult questioning because Senate Republicans have not overtly endorsed her.  According to a Republican healthcare lobbyist, “I can’t imagine a lot of support for her,” noting that the high-profile CMS role “always gets sucked into the controversy of the day.”  Ultimately, Tavenner is likely to be confirmed for the CMS post.

Tavenner is widely seen as a pragmatic administrator who will not rock the CMS boat. “The only way to stabilize costs without cutting benefits or provider fees is to improve care to those with the highest health care costs,” she said.  Tavenner also said she opposed Republican efforts to turn Medicaid into a block grant that would limit the amount of federal funding states can receive for the program.  “That approach would simply dump the problem on states and force them to dump patients, benefits or make provider cuts or all the above,” she said.  Tavenner “brings continuity in terms of implementing the mission,” said Len Nichols, director of George Mason University’s Center for Health Policy Research and Ethics.

Showdown As Opposing Medicare Ads Debut

Wednesday, November 30th, 2011

A coalition of advocacy groups such as the Americans United for Change, Service Employees International Union, American Federation of State, County, the Municipal Employees and Service Employees International Union and Moveon.org recently started running a series of ads telling lawmakers not to cut Medicare benefits.  In particular, the ads target Representative Denny Rehberg (R-MT), Senator Dean Heller (R-NV) and Senator Scott Brown (R-MA).

“If you vote to cut Medicare, Representative Rehberg, I will remember it every time I visit my doctor.  I’ll remember you cut Medicare and Medicaid every time I fill my prescription,” says an elderly woman narrator in one of the ads.  “I’ll remember you cut Medicare every time I fall or get hurt. I’ll remember you protected millionaires over protecting my health. My friends will remember it, too — all of them.  Call Senator Heller.  Tell him to protect Medicare and Medicaid.”

Brian Walsh, the National Republican Senatorial Committee communications director, made light of the Democratic message, arguing that the half-trillion dollars they shifted out of Medicare to pay for healthcare reform makes their argument hollow.  “The irony of this pathetic attack ad is that in each of these three races, it’s actually the Democrat candidates who are all firmly on record supporting the $500 billion in Medicare cuts that were included in their massive healthcare overhaul,” said Walsh.  “The big labor unions funding this ad know that, but yet they are doing everything they can to mislead voters in Montana, Nevada and Massachusetts.”

In the meantime, the United States Chamber of Commerce is running commercials attacking Senators Sherrod Brown (D-OH) and Jon Tester (D-MT).  Friends of the U.S. Chamber criticize Tester for supporting “government-run healthcare” and challenges Brown on energy taxes.  The business community has been under unprecedented threat,” Rob Engstrom, part of a two-man team running the chamber’s political operation, said.  The trade group plans to break its previous political spending record — $50 million — to try to elect a more business-friendly Congress.  The Montana ad reminds viewers about Tester’s votes for “government-run healthcare” then urges voters to “call Senator Tester and tell him to stop supporting big government and start fighting for Montana’s families.”

Americans United for Change explains why it is running ads about protecting Medicare and Medicaid.  “For decades, seniors have relied on Medicare being a guaranteed benefit and those less fortunate have depended on Medicaid to provide long-term care and coverage for children.  These programs need to be strengthened to ensure they remain available for future generations, which means not gutting and decimating benefits, leaving low-income children, seniors, and people with disabilities out in the cold.  The key to making Medicare sustainable is reining in costs, not dumping more expenses onto seniors.  We are working to set the right priorities for an economically secure future while continuing to protect healthcare coverage for those who can least afford it.”

Writing for the Huffington Post, Sam Stein describes the Democratic ads as “Not exactly the most visually stimulating videos, the ads warn lawmakers that they will pay a political price for cutting Medicare or Medicaid.  That may prove to be popular politics — certainly, polls show that voters want the two healthcare programs protected — but the notion that cuts won’t ultimately be pursued is highly unlikely.  Aides on the Hill from both political parties have long agreed that there is room to trim down Medicare’s provider-side components.  Reforms to Medicaid, whether in the form of decreased help to the states or something more structural, have also been discussed.”

90-Year-Olds Growing in Numbers

Tuesday, November 29th, 2011

Is 90 the new 85? The number of Americans over the age of 90 has skyrocketed from 720,000 in the year 1980 to more than 1.9 million in 2010, according to the Census Bureau, which notes that “over the next four decades, this population is projected to more than quadruple.”  Driven by improvements in healthcare, the trend presents challenges.  The Census Bureau notes that “a nation’s oldest-old population consumes resources disproportionately to its overall population size, and its growth has a significant impact on societal and family resources, including pension and retirement income, healthcare costs, and intergenerational relationships.”

According to the study, “People at very old ages are also expected to live longer.  Today a person 90 years of age is expected to live on average another 4.6 years (versus 3.2 years in 1929–1931), and those who pass the century mark are projected to live another 2.3 years.  Women aged 90+ outnumber 90+ men nearly 3 to 1.”

The downside is that people aged 90-plus are more likely to live in poverty or have disabilities, creating a new challenge to already strained retiree income and healthcare programs.

Richard Suzman, director of behavioral and social research at the National Institute on Aging, said “A key issue for this population will be whether disability rates can be reduced.  We’ve seen to some extent that disabilities can be reduced with lifestyle improvements, diet and exercise.  But it becomes more important to find ways to delay, prevent or treat conditions such as Alzheimer’s disease.”

“Given its rapid growth, the 90-and-older population merits a closer look,” said Wan He, a Census Bureau demographer and one of the report’s authors.  “The older people get, the more resources they consume because of healthcare, and disability rates significantly increase.  This creates demands for daily care, and for families the care burden increases dramatically.”

People in this demographic are more likely to have at least one disability, live alone or live in a nursing home.  They’re also more likely to be female, because women typically are longer-lived than men, and are likely to be poor.  “But increasingly people are living longer and the older population itself is getting older.  Given its rapid growth, the 90-and-older population merits a closer look.  The implications for the family and our society of this growing population are likely to be significant,” according to the authors.

The poverty issue cannot be understated because it becomes more likely as a person ages.  From 2006 to 2008, 14.5 percent of people 90 and older lived in poverty, drastically more than the 9.6 percent of those 65 to 89 who were considered poor.  The annual median income for people aged 90 and older was $14,760, as measured in inflation adjusted dollars.  Nearly half of that income — 47.9 percent — came from Social Security, and 18.3 percent came from retirement pensions.  Fully 92.3 percent of those 90 and older received Social Security income.

And where do these nonagenarians live? According to Census figures, smaller states had the highest shares of their older Americans who were at least 90.  North Dakota had approximately seven percent of its 65-plus population older than 90.  It was followed by Connecticut, Iowa and South Dakota.  When considering absolute numbers, the retirement havens of California, Florida and Texas led the nation in the 90-plus population, each with more than 130,000.

By 2050 – just 39 years from now – the number of Americans 90 or older could total nine million. “I think it’s going to grow even faster than predicted in the report,” Suzman said.  Someone who lives to 90 today is likely to live almost another five years, the study noted.  Additionally, a person who lives to celebrate a 100th birthday is likely to live another 2.3 years.  Women aged 90 and older outnumbered men by 3 to 1, according to the study.  Nearly 80 percent of those women are widows, while more than 40 percent of the men are married.

Edmund H. Duthie, a professor of medicine and chief of the division of geriatrics and gerontology at the Medical College of Wisconsin, said the census numbers point to a sobering fact: Retirement may be longer than people expect.  “Are you going to outlive whatever you put aside?”  Duthie said.  “Most people wouldn’t think that if you retired at 60, you may have a third of your life to live.”  Duthie said it was unclear how the nation’s obesity epidemic might affect longevity as well as chronic illness.  America, he said, remains concerned with rates of dementia and how society will cope with the problem.  “The science base of what we do with the oldest old is something that we’re lacking,” he said.  “We can measure cholesterol and blood pressure, but what does it mean in a 90-year-old?  We need to be enrolling these oldest old in studies to understand more about what to do.”

Half of Americans Support Obamacare Repeal

Monday, November 28th, 2011

A recent Gallup poll found that 47 percent of Americans support the repeal of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA), compared with the 42 percent who want the law kept in place.  The remaining 11 percent offered no opinion.  In an ironic twist, the survey also determined that half of Americans believe the federal government has a responsibility to make certain that all citizens have healthcare coverage, compared with 46 percent who do not.

“Views on this issue are highly partisan, with Republicans strongly in favor of repeal and the large majority of Democrats wanting the law kept in place,” according to Gallup.

Republicans claim that the healthcare law is unconstitutional because of the individual mandate that requires all Americans to purchase health insurance.  Approximately eight in 10 Republicans think Congress should repeal the healthcare law, including 54 percent who want the entire law thrown out.  Democrats have an opposing view: 60 percent support keeping the healthcare law as is.  Independents are split.

Fully 80 percent of Republicans support repeal, while a mere 10 percent support the law.  Democrats, not surprisingly support the healthcare law by 64 – 21 percent.  The intensity of the issue on both sides is also striking.  Among those who favor repeal of the so-called Obamacare, 66 percent say it is a “very important” issue.  Fully 60 percent of the ACA’s supporters described it is a “very important” issue.

Another finding of the survey is that 56 percent of respondents prefer an insurance system run by private companies; while 39 percent prefer a government-run system.

Writing for CBS News, Jennifer De Pinto says that “Even though overall support for the healthcare law is mixed, majorities have favored some individual elements of the law, including requiring health insurance companies to cover people with pre-existing conditions and allowing children to stay on their parents’ healthcare plan until age 26.  However, the provision that requires all Americans get health insurance is not as popular.  A CNN/ORC Poll conducted this past summer found 54 percent of Americans oppose that provision.”

In a poll taken by the Kaiser Foundation, 34 percent said they view the law either “very” (12 percent) or “somewhat” (22 percent) favorably while 51 percent saw it in either as “somewhat” (20 percent) or “very” (31 percent) unfavorably.  In April 2010, the favorable view of the law was 50 percent only one time (July 2010).  With the exception of the October dip, support has generally been between 39 and 43 percent since the start of this year.  Even as the overall bill remains consistently unpopular, parts of it — including the individual mandate, which would require all Americans to carry health insurance — are viewed more positively.

Even if the Supreme Court overturns the ACA or it is repealed, President Barack Obama said that the healthcare law he signed in 2010 represents “a reform that will finally make sure that nobody goes bankrupt in America just because they get sick.”  Obama said the law assures coverage for people with preexisting medical conditions and is the kind of change he promised during the 2008 presidential campaign.  “Everything we fought for in the last election is now at stake in the next election,” Obama said.  “The very core of what this country stands for is on the line.”

Supreme Court to Decide Healthcare Reform

Wednesday, November 23rd, 2011

The Supreme Court has agreed to rule on the fate of President Barack Obama’s Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) healthcare law, with an election-year ruling due by July on the most comprehensive overhaul in nearly a half century.  The decision had been widely expected because the Obama administration asked the nation’s highest court to uphold the landmark legislation and 26 states asked that the law be ruled unconstitutional.

President Obama expressed confidence that the court would uphold the law when the decision is handed down, just four months prior to the 2012 election.  “Thanks to the Affordable Care Act, one million more young Americans have health insurance, women are getting mammograms and preventive services without paying an extra penny out of their own pocket and insurance companies have to spend more of your premiums on healthcare instead of advertising and bonuses,” said Dan Pfeiffer, the White House communications director.  “We know the Affordable Care Act is constitutional and are confident the Supreme Court will agree,” Pfeiffer said.  The administration pointed out that other landmark legislation, such as the Social Security Act, the Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act, all faced similar legal challenges that failed.

Republicans have vowed to repeal “Obamacare,” but that promise will have to be modified if the high court undercuts the law as written.  A Supreme Court victory would make President Obama even more confident that the law is the major accomplishment of his first term.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, (R-KY) said “this misguided law represents an unprecedented and unconstitutional expansion of the federal government into the daily lives of every American.”  The majority of Americans agree,” McConnell said.  “In both public surveys and at the ballot box, Americans have rejected the law’s mandate that they must buy government-approved health insurance, and I hope the Supreme Court will do the same.”

Despite Republicans’ insistence that the ACA is unconstitutional, only one of the four federal appeals courts that have heard cases on healthcare reform has struck down even a part of the law.

One of the ACA’s most vocal opponents is Karen Harned of the National Federation of Independent Business, who said: “We are confident in the strength of our case and hopeful that we will ultimately prevail.  Our nation’s job-creators depend on a decision being reached before the harmful effects of this new law become irreversible.”

Legal experts believe that the healthcare vote will be close on the nine-member court, which is comprised of five conservatives and four liberals.  Moderate conservative Justice Anthony Kennedy, who often is the swing vote, and could well cast the decisive vote.  Paul Heldman, senior analyst at Potomac Research Group, which provides Washington policy research for the investment community, said he still leaned toward the view that the law’s requirement that individuals buy insurance will be upheld.  “We continue to have a high level of conviction that the Supreme Court will leave much of the health reform law standing, even if finds unconstitutional the requirement that individuals buy coverage,” he wrote.

An impressive 5 ½ hours of oral arguments will be held in late February or March. The primary issue is whether the “individual mandate” section – which requires virtually all Americans to buy health insurance by 2014 or face fines — is an improper exercise of federal authority.  According to the states, if that linchpin provision is unconstitutional, the entire law must be also be overturned.  Joining Florida in the challenge are Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Nebraska, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming.  Virginia and Oklahoma have filed their own challenges, along with other groups and individuals opposed to the law.

According to USA Today’s Joan Biskupic, “The leading question before the justices is whether in requiring most Americans to buy insurance, Congress exceeded its power to regulate interstate commerce.  The case is on track to be heard by March, and a ruling would come by the end of June, just before the Republican and Democratic conventions for the 2012 presidential election. The law known as the Affordable Care Act, intended to extend medical care nationwide, is the centerpiece of the Obama domestic agenda, and all major GOP presidential candidates oppose it.  The legal challengers, including a group of 26 states, say the law went beyond federal power and, if allowed to stand, would hurt small businesses and compromise individual choices on medical care.”

Writing in The Hill, Sam Baker says that “As they weigh the mandate, the justices will have to consider how it affects other parts of the law.  If they find the coverage requirement unconstitutional, they will have to decide whether to strike it down on its own or instead strike down the entire law.  The justices also will determine whether a separate federal law bars them from reaching a decision on the mandate before it takes effect.  People can’t challenge a tax before they have to pay it, and the Obama administration has defended the mandate by invoking Congress’s taxing power.  But it has also said the court should bypass procedural issues and rule directly on the mandate.”