Posts Tagged ‘Wells Fargo’

There’s Method in Warren Buffett’s Madness

Wednesday, May 20th, 2009

Warren Buffett’s loyal followers are wondering what got into the Oracle of Omaha6a00d834a6138369e200e54f0aa7a68833-500wi when he told CNBC  that this is “a great time to be in banking“, praised Wells Fargo’s massive earning power, and said that the government doesn’t need to provide capital to or nationalize banks.

Although some critics dismissed Buffett’s statements as biased because he owns large stakes in Wells Fargo and U.S. Bancorp, he may be dead right.

Buffett was talking about lending, and it’s the “spread” that counts – the difference between the interest rates banks charge for the loans they make and the rate they pay to borrow that money.  When the Federal Reserve makes deep interest rate cuts, spreads widen and loans become more profitable.  The Fed funds rate is so low right now that Wells Fargo is borrowing cheaply and profiting handsomely on the loans it makes.

Although banks do need to recapitalize, they currently are saving money by cutting dividends paid to investors.  Every dollar they make goes into recapitalization.  With stricter government oversight, banks are required to operate more efficiently.  The irony is that these conditions are almost identical to what helped the nation recover from its last banking crisis during the 1990 – 1991 recession.  In fact, the banks 19 years ago were in worse shape than they are today; yet they were not nationalized or put into receivership.  Once the Fed cut interest rates, banks’ lending policies became more conservative, and they eventually recovered.  The same scenario could play out this time around.

Wells Fargo Wagon Rolls onto Wall Street

Friday, April 10th, 2009

The Wells Fargo wagon delivered good news to Wall Street when the San Francisco-based bank announced a record first-quarter profit of approximately $3 billion, or 55 percent per common share.  Contrast these numbers with the fourth quarter of 2008, when Wells Fargo reported a $2.6 billion loss.

The news sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average soaring 3.1 percent to finish the day at 8,083.38, the highest closing since February 9.wellsfargo

Wells credited the outstanding results to healthy lending margins driven by low interest rates and the resulting boom in mortgage lending activity.  “Our business momentum is strong, and we expect our operating margins to remain at the top of our peer group,” said John Stumpf, Wells Fargo’s CEO.  Applications for mortgages surged during the first quarter; Wells reported $83 billion in applications for new and refinance home loans during March alone.

Wells is the nation’s largest mortgage servicer and a leading home loan originator, so it benefited from the refinancing boom driven by extremely low short-term interest rates and the government’s purchases of mortgage bonds.

Although this is evidence that the Obama administration’s efforts to jump-start the economy by freeing up credit are starting to work, it is only the hint of a beginning for banks with significant mortgage portfolios.  Wells and competitors such as Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase remain dangerously exposed to falling asset prices, especially for commercial and residential real estate.

The Federal Government Takes First Steps to Bail Out Banks

Tuesday, October 21st, 2008

The Treasury Department is spending the first $250 billion of the $700 billion rescue bill that Congress recently approved in an attempt to defuse the financial crisis that has dominated the headlines for weeks.  According to a recent article on GlobeSt.com, the move – which partially nationalizes the banking system – is seen by some as conflicting with the free-market principles that typically have characterized the American economy. To shore up the United States banking system, the Treasury Department is partially nationalizing nine banks by using $125 billion to purchase minority stakes in major financial institutions.  Although the banks haven’t been named, they are believed to include Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, State Street and Bank of New York Mellon Corporation.  The Treasury Department is also expected to make the remaining $125 billion available to banks and thrifts across the country to purchase their preferred shares.

According to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, “Today’s actions are not what we ever wanted to do, but are what we must do to restore confidence to our financial system.  The needs of the economy require that our financial institutions not take this new capital to hoard it, but to deploy it.”  Just weeks before the presidential election, outgoing President George W. Bush sees the move as a short-term measure.  “The government’s role will be limited and temporary.  These measures are not intended to take over the free market, but to preserve it,” Bush said.

The question now is whether the banks will use the capital as the government intends – lend it to businesses and consumers again – or will they use it to sweeten their own balance sheets?  The government, no doubt, intends to exert significant pressure on the institutions to loosen credit so that people can start buying big-ticket items like houses and cars again.